Q&A for 1Q of FY2015.3
Q&A for the First Quarter of the Fiscal Year Ending March 2015
Date | Wednesday, July 30, 2014, 5:00 pm-5:50 pm |
---|---|
Location | 20F Conference Room, Garden Air Tower |
Respondents | Takashi Tanaka, President; Hirofumi Morozumi, Executive Vice President; Makoto Takahashi, Senior Vice President; Yuzo Ishikawa, Senior Vice President; Tsutomu Fukuzaki, Associate Senior Vice President; Hidehiko Tajima, Associate Senior Vice President; Yoshiaki Uchida, Associate Senior Vice President; Takashi Shoji, Vice President; Hiroki Honda, General Manager, Corporate Management Division; Kenji Aketa, General Manager, Investor Relations Department (MC) |
Questioner 1
-
- Last fiscal year, you introduced a medium-term plan in which you made a commitment to achieve double-digit growth in profits over the next three years. Last fiscal year, you met that goal solidly, and I expect you will steadily reach your targets again this fiscal year and next. Expansion on the back of the growing popularity of smartphones is fixed to some degree; what is under debate in the marketplace is what businesses will drive additional growth. For KDDI, I believe these include the "au WALLET" business, for which applications are proceeding well, as well as the telecommunications business in Myanmar and your expansion of the overseas data center business. These businesses should be drivers of growth for the Company. Around how much do you expect them to contribute to profits during the fiscal year ending March 31, 2017?
-
Yes, last fiscal year we committed to achieving double-digit profit growth over the upcoming three years. Last year, we surpassed the level we had committed to, and business is moving along steadily this year, too. Naturally, we will also commit to next year.
The question of most concern for us is how we will sustain growth after the fiscal year ending March 31, 2017. Top management has been debating this question of where we go from here since the fiscal year ended March 31, 2014. One answer that has come out of these discussions is to move into the domestic offline market.
I believe that "au WALLET" is one tool for accomplishing this goal. Offline business will contribute to profits, but we also intend for it to generate an economic cycle wherein online and offline businesses repeat, back and forth. In addition to our points of contact with customers in the online world, we think that adding ID will strengthen our business, including in the offline world.
In the first quarter, we announced an initiative in Myanmar that we have been involved in for some time. Going forward, we should be able to unveil a number of things that we are working on.
In the current fiscal year, we are targeting a new stage of business. We have already turned around the trend on au ARPU, and sales of tablets as second devices are growing beyond our expectations, so the domestic telecommunications business is firmly positive. We also aim to become involved in new businesses and are targeting further expansion. At this point, we cannot provide specific figures.
-
- I understand that the net au net additions have leveled off recently. You may not be able to guess about the future, but what initiatives will you be taking from 2Q onward?
-
Other companies are announcing their net additions and their MNP net additions, so KDDI's are considered to be poor. That is not the case at all.
In the telecommunications business overall, au net additions and MNP net additions got a major boost in 4Q of last year. By comparison, the figures for April and May show that the overall market size is smaller. Looking at this on a competitive basis, though, the au share of the overall communications market, as described by au net additions and MNP net additions, has not changed. In June and July, figures for total unit sales and net additions have been recovering, so the market isn't just shrinking. In the second half, the telecommunications industry holds numerous events where handset sales are high. We will introduce new models and launch a strategy for the year-end shopping season. By stepping up our activities on a number of fronts in the second half, we expect to meet our targets, unrevised.
Questioner 2
-
- During the first quarter, au ARPU was favorable. Given this positive performance on au ARPU, are you thinking of revising upward your operating income forecast at the end of the first half?
-
Unless something truly unexpected occurs, we are not planning to revise our results forecast at the first half.
-
- The least expensive rate in your new rate plan sets 2GB as its upper limit. What are your thoughts about people shifting from the existing rate plan to the least expensive rate on the new plan? In other words, what are your thoughts on the risk of downgrades putting downward pressure on revenues? Are you planning to run any campaigns to hedge against the risk of downgrades?
-
On average, smartphone customers use a little less than 3GB of data per month. If we were to introduce a minimum rate plan with 2GB as the maximum, customers would incur surcharges, so their rates would be high. Also, the average amount of data used is increasing every month as the smartphone user base expands. For these reasons, we do not consider there to be a risk of income being pushed down due to downgrades.
Our new Data Freedom Rate Plan allows customers to select the plan that suits them best, based on their amount of data use. For the late majority, selecting the entry plan eases the transition from feature phone to smartphone, so the Data Freedom Rate Plan should contribute to increases in au ARPU.
Meanwhile, existing smartphone users and heavy users will need to take a number of factors into consideration when deciding what entry point is most appropriate. This domain opens up a huge number of possibilities, and going forward we plan to run campaigns on this theme.
Questioner 3
-
- What is the profile of "au WALLET" applicants?
Also, I understand that you are currently running a campaign that adds 5% to charges, but what sales promotions to you anticipate following that?
Your "au WALLET" strategy is successful. How much did the strategy launch cost? -
The profile of "au WALLET" applicants is nothing unusual. We are getting applications from people across a wide range of ages. In 1Q, launch-related expenses were approximately ¥4.0 billion. We are looking at the current fiscal year as the start toward a new phase in our business. Guidance would be that while maintaining our profit base we will aggressively launch "au WALLET" in the aim of contributing to profits next fiscal year and the year after that.
With regard to current conditions, after running campaigns that take an approach that goes via online, the rate of "au WALLET" use has risen, and we have the distinct sense that "au WALLET" has the potential to create new contact points with customers offline. We plan to continue with campaigns for the next year or so, to expand the offline/online economic cycle.
- What is the profile of "au WALLET" applicants?
-
- What measures are you taking to counter NTT's shift to "wholesaling fiber access service?"
-
We are firmly opposed to NTT's approach, which is currently a focus of discussion by a committee at the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications.
Questioner 4
-
- With regard to your joint business in Myanmar, what is your approximate investment timeframe and amount, and what is your expected return?
-
We have entered into a nondisclosure agreement on this topic, so we cannot discuss the details, but over a 10-year period we expect to invest ¥200 billion. We expect half that amount, or ¥100 billion, to be in reinvested funds that the business generates. On our consolidated P/L statement, we expect the business to begin contributing to profits from around the second year. We have adopted an investment scheme that involves relatively little danger, and there is less risk than some outsiders seem to think.
-
- Are you planning to increase your investment in joint business in Myanmar?
-
Our business plan is as I have just explained. There is no change in our belief that this is an attractive market, including peripheral businesses. If the business is proceeding in a positive direction, increased investment and expanded operations are possibilities.
Questioner 5
-
- Other companies have stopped accepting applications for their smartphone rate plan (maximum of 7GB). Only au has not clarified its stance on timing. What is happening on this? At shops, do you plan to separate sales of the current rate plan and the new rate plan?
-
We have not decided timing for discontinuing our current rate plan.
With regard to selling plans, we believe that the late majority will see our new rate plan as more attractive. Conversely, early adopters tend to hardly use voice services at all. Many people are currently enrolled on our existing rate plan, and we do not plan to force them to change to a new plan. We want au to be an environment that allows freedom of choice, so we will promote plans designed to match users' needs.
-
- From autumn, other companies are planning to discontinue current rate plans. Do you think it will be advantageous from a marketing perspective for you not to do so, but to instead offer both old and new rate plans?
-
From talking to people at shops and in sales, I understand that this is an advantage, but at this point I do not know for certain that it is.
- Other IR Information
- Recommended Contents
-