Q&A for 3Q of FY2016.3
Q&A for the Third Quarter of the Fiscal Year Ending March 2016
Date | Tuesday, February 9, 2016, 6:30 pm-7:15 pm |
---|---|
Location | 20F Conference Room, Garden Air Tower |
Respondents | Takashi Tanaka, President; Hirofumi Morozumi, Executive Vice President; Makoto Takahashi, Senior Vice President; Yuzo Ishikawa, Senior Vice President; Tsutomu Fukuzaki, Associate Senior Vice President; Hidehiko Tajima, Associate Senior Vice President; Yoshiaki Uchida, Associate Senior Vice President; Takashi Shoji, Vice President; Hiroki Honda, General Manager, Corporate Management Division; Kenji Aketa, General Manager, Investor Relations Department (MC) |
Questioner 1
-
- Of the current 50 billion yen purchase of own shares, probably 30 billion yen will be for purchasing shares from KYOCERA Corporation, so my impression is that the market impact will not be that great. In the stock market, shareholder returns have been enhanced in the past one or two years through purchases of own shares, dividends, etc., and amid expectations of an upward revision of business performance and increased dividends, neither of which materialized, in view of the 50 billion yen scale and the fact that the purchase will be from Kyocera, I don’t think the announcement of this share repurchase necessarily meets market demands. In consideration of cash creation in the future, what is your view regarding future share repurchases?
-
For the past three years we have worked toward our goals of improved business performance (a double-digit increase in operating income) and a dividend payout ratio of over 30%. We hope to announce a new capital policy in the next medium-term plan to be announced in the financial results for the current term, so we kindly ask you to wait. The current purchase of own shares is in response to the wishes of KYOCERA, and part of the 50 billion yen is assumed to be for the purchase of shares from the market. We have announced the current buyback, but as for the rest, we ask you to wait for the financial results announcement.
Questioner 2
-
- What factors are behind the cost increase in the Personal Services segment? And what factors underlie the decline in operating revenue in the Global Services segment compared with the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2016? Will the decline in operating revenue continue in future?
-
With regard to the cost increase in the Personal Services segment, as you know, with the intense competition in MNP acquisition, sales incentives in the third quarter have risen 14 billion yen over the same period last year. However, even amid fiercer competition, our operations are proceeding well and the monthly discount has fallen dramatically compared with the same period last year.
In the Global Services segment, price competition has intensified in Myanmar and there has been a decline in dealings by DMX, resulting in a fall in income and profit. The decline in revenue compared with the second quarter was affected by the weak kyat from July to September 2015, which is the consolidated accounting period for business in Myanmar, and the partial sale of KDDI America's calling card business. In future, we see the disappearance of temporary factors that contribute to a decline in revenue such as DMX, and continued revenue growth from business in Myanmar where the kyat has stopped falling.
-
- What is the cause of the rise in the churn rate? How do you plan to control it in future?
-
The cause was heightened liquidity due to the fact that the third quarter is the selling season for specific models and that, following discussions held by the Task Force on mobile phone rates and other provision conditions, customers were motivated to purchase a phone before the regulations came into effect. Churns due to switching over to MVNOs are also steadily increasing. In future, we believe we can reduce the churn rate with au Smart Value and au Denki (electricity service,) which are proving effective in this area.
-
- Value-added ARPA has increased by 10 yen compared with the previous term. Are there any signs that it will grow further in future? Which domains are you going to expand to increase value-added ARPA in future?
-
It will be quite tough to achieve the term forecast for value-added ARPA of 500 yen. au Smart Pass is doing well and has exceeded the plan. The churn rate is less than 1% and the total number of members is on the rise. On the other hand, sales of Video Pass and other pass services (online up-selling services) are being carefully promoted, so the impact on value-added ARPA is diminishing. In future, as well as continuing to expand our pass services, we aim to devote our efforts to au WALLET Market and other commerce services.
In addition, our Value Services segment is often compared with NTT DOCOMO's Smart Life domains, but NTT DOCOMO's Smart Life business and other businesses include module services and other services so the two are not comparable on the same level. Smart Life business corresponds to our Value Services segment, but in terms of profit level, it comes out on top. We will bear that in mind in our efforts to grow value-added ARPA in future.
Questioner 3
-
- It appears that the growth rate of au ARPA is accelerating. What is the background to this?
-
There are two factors. One is that au ARPU has shifted from a flat trend to an upward trend. The other is that, with strong sales of routers and tablets, the number of mobile devices per person is high vis-à-vis the plan and is expected to continue so.
-
- Is voice or data the cause of the shift in au communications ARPU to an upward trend?
-
Data is the cause. The selection rate for 5GB or over with Kakeho and Dejira*1 (including Super Kakeho*2) is rising and the fact that the monthly discount is controlled is a plus factor contributing to the upward trend. The impact on voice ARPU of the unlimited free call plan has leveled off and the shift to smartphones by the introduction of Super Kakeho is progressing. These factors have also contributed to the rise in au ARPU and we see this as a favorable trend in the coming term.
-
- The Super Kakeho and Student Discount services were announced well before other companies which are now trying to catch up. What steps will you take in future to intend to differentiate yourselves from competitors?
-
The measures we have taken this term toward further growth (au WALLET/au WALLET Market/au Denki) are ready to be expanded in future. We believe a vertical start-up will be difficult, so we are making thorough preparations this term, and next term we aim to expand our growth in new domains in addition to organic growth.
Questioner 4
-
- MNP sales incentives increased in the third quarter, but are we to understand that they will come down again in the fourth quarter? What sort of cost control will be implemented in future?
-
Following on from the third quarter, many sales incentives were implemented in January, but these are expected to diminish in February and March, so we expect a slight rise in profit in the fourth quarter. We hope to achieve the double-digit growth to which we are committed. As of the present time, I cannot comment on the next term; we will discuss it in the future.
-
- By participating in JSC, are we to understand that you have strengthened your commerce business? Which area will you beef up with your next business investment?
-
We are participating in JSC in the sense of participating in J:COM growth, coupled with a view to maximizing our commerce business by drawing in au customers. KDDI has bought out LUXA and launched au WALLET Market, but not on any sort of scale that could compare with Rakuten or Yahoo. This area needs to be boosted in future, but it will not be on the same level as investment in JSC. In the area of finance, we have also started banking, life insurance and non-life insurance services. Jibun Bank offers housing loans at low interest rates, and we are reviewing how to make it easier for customers to understand.
Questioner 5
-
- While au ARPU is doing well on the one hand, the fact that business performance is in line with the plan means that there are preceding costs. What is the background to the strategy of using the profit from au ARPU for acquisition costs?
-
We are working toward growth by IDs x ARPU, so even if temporarily there are preceding costs, there is no problem so long as we can recover the costs by ARPU after acquisition. We are working hard to maintain the momentum.
-
- You will have to restrain excessive acquisition costs, but how do you plan to expand the Personal Services segment in the next two or three years?
-
We are committed to building ID expansion on top of au ARPU/ARPA expansion. Please wait two or three years.
-
- As for MIC-standard communications speeds, all the companies have the same level of downlink speed while KDDI seems to lag behind in uplink speed. How do you see the current network quality compared to other companies?
-
As far as downlink speed is concerned, we are confident that we provide the best quality in the business. The reason our uplink speed comes out lower is that, with WiMAX 2+ (TD-LTE), the frequency distribution is set at 3:1 downlink-to-uplink and the uplink speed is not compatible with carrier aggregation. Customer traffic is 10:1 downlink-to-uplink and the bandwidth is designed based on actual customer usage, so in actual use there is no problem and the speed is equal to customer needs.
- Other IR Information
- Recommended Contents
-